EU related referendums = second-order elections? A Dutch single case study

Neubert, K.C. (2017) EU related referendums = second-order elections? A Dutch single case study.

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Abstract:This bachelor thesis will help answer the question whether the Dutch Ukraine-European Union Association Agreement referendum can be seen as a second-order election. An answer can pave the way for future research concerning the development and acceptance of referendums with a European context. The paper examines this question by applying it to the Dutch Ukraine-European Union Association Agreement referendum in form of a case study. Five hypotheses were developed to provide this answer. These hypotheses examine a combination of theories and characteristics of second-order elections and referendums which include for the most part ballot results, waste vote mentality, and the punishment trap in comparison with first-order elections. Survey data used in the analysis stems from the ‘Election Survey Ukraine Referendum’ provided by CentERdata while other data points were retrieved from the Dutch Election Council. The results confirm the hypotheses for the most part and one is able to say that the examined referendum can be seen as a second-order election. Now a broader study with more diverse cases is needed to confirm this notion. Understanding referendums with a European context in a new light enhances the interpretation of voting results and the research surrounding it.
Item Type:Essay (Bachelor)
Faculty:BMS: Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences
Subject:88 social and public administration, 89 political science
Programme:European Public Administration BSc (56654)
Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/essays/73363
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