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The inter-arrival time between consecutive buses at bus stops

Wu, Huan (2020) The inter-arrival time between consecutive buses at bus stops.

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Abstract:It happens very often that a bus is delayed at a bus stop, leading to that passengers waste time waiting for the bus and bus companies receive a lot of complaints. This real life problem becomes the source of my research project in this thesis. To get the arrival time of buses with more exactness and certainty will help much to enhance the working efficiency of companies and save time cost for passengers. The inter-arrival time between consecutive buses at bus stops is explored in four different models, namely Simple Gated Model, Complicated Gated Model, Exhaustive Model and Poisson Model. In the Simple Gated Model, the inter-arrival time between buses is investigated through both theoretical analysis and discrete event simulation. The results show that the difference between analytical values and simulation values is significantly small. In the other three models, the inter-arrival time between buses is worked out by simulating specific situations with certain variables controlled. In the Complicated Model, it shows that the inter-arrival time between buses is influenced by the number of passengers arriving per unit time. In the last two models, the inter-arrival time between buses has a similar change pattern with the arrival rate of passengers being the same. More work is to be done in the study of Poisson Model in finding the inter-arrival time between buses. For example, for sake of convenience and being easy to handle, it is supposed that all passengers get on(or off) the bus just through one gate in my research, yet in actual life, passengers get on(or off) the bus trough two gates. The research to come could focus on the study of two gates case.
Item Type:Essay (Bachelor)
Faculty:EEMCS: Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
Subject:31 mathematics
Programme:Applied Mathematics BSc (56965)
Link to this item:https://purl.utwente.nl/essays/80569
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