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Explaining international conflict escalation : a comparative analysis of the commercial aircraft shootdowns of MH17, KAL007 and IR655.

Aggelaki, Cristina (2020) Explaining international conflict escalation : a comparative analysis of the commercial aircraft shootdowns of MH17, KAL007 and IR655.

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Abstract:The purpose of this master thesis is to explain how an international conflict can escalate into a direct confrontation by presenting three different cases of commercial aircrafts shooting downs and analyze them in comparison with the Cuban Missile Crisis. In order to provide an answer to the main research question ´How can the processes that led to the shooting down of the KAL 007, IR655, and MH17 flights be explained from the three explanations in Allison’s theory of crisis decision-making and escalation of international conflict?’, this master thesis will present the three core models from Graham Allison book ´Essence of Decision´ and how they materialized during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Afterward, these models will be applied to the three shooting down cases attempting to explain the main reasons that led to the downing of the aircrafts according to the Rational Actor Model, the Organisational Process Model, and the Bureaucratic Model respectively. A causal-comparative research design will be used to compare the three shooting down cases in order to identify similarities and differences. The findings, in the end, reveal that there is an analogy between the Cuban Missile Crisis and the escalation of the crisis before downing a commercial aircraft.
Item Type:Essay (Master)
Faculty:BMS: Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences
Subject:70 social sciences in general
Programme:Public Administration MSc (60020)
Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/essays/84830
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