Quantifying uncertainties in the discharge distribution at the Pannerdense Kop

The discharge distribution forms a crucial aspect in the flood protection of the rivers. The discharge distribution determines the water levels downstream while the water levels determine again the discharge distribution at the bifurcation point (Gensen et al., 2020). This is a complex interaction and it is important to understand the uncertainties within the discharge distribution for flood protection. This study aims to determine the effects of the uncertainties in the discharge distribution at the Pannerdense Kop for a 16,000 m3/s flood wave using expert elicitation.