Finding ways to improve the prediction accuracy of a model that predicts the outcome of a football match using machine learning
Boksem, Jorn (2022)
The goal of this research is to find new ways to improve the prediction accuracy
of a model that predicts the outcome of a football match. In our literature review,
we found out that there has been quite some research focusing on finding new and
effective feature categories or algorithms. Most of these would make use of the
known effective feature categories, like match attributes, match statistics and team
performance, while introducing a new feature category. Also, some of these would
experiment with a new algorithm to find out whether it would have potential. Studies
like [1], [2] and [3] made use of these ways to improve the prediction accuracy and
have had some success over the years. [1] made use of weather as a new feature
category, while [2] focused on team/player ratings and team/player values. [3] did
not focus on a new feature category but used the known effective ones, while experimenting
with long short-term memory. As mentioned, these ways to improve the
accuracy have had their success over the years but at a certain point the pile with
new feature categories and algorithms will run out. In that case, we need to find
other ways to improve the prediction accuracy of a model that predicts the outcome
of a football match.
In this thesis, we propose two ways to improve the prediction accuracy other
than finding new feature categories or algorithms
Boksem_MA_EEMCS.pdf