University of Twente Student Theses
Development of a decision support tool based on fuzzy cognitive mapping for energy transition of district heating systems of Leeuwarden
Shahbazi, R. (2022) Development of a decision support tool based on fuzzy cognitive mapping for energy transition of district heating systems of Leeuwarden.
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| Abstract: | The Netherlands has targeted the reduction of CO2-eq emissions by approximately half by 2030. To achieve this ambitious goal, the energy transition has to be accelerated in various forms including heating. Geothermal energy is one of the major proven Dutch renewables, and in 2023, the first geothermal well is going to be operated to provide heating energy for industries in the first place and households afterward. As a niche, this new energy source will have to be supported to turn into the dominant regime, and the question is how? This research intends to provide a decision support tool based on a fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) with a focus on households as the users. The flow of this FCM is towards the residents’ attitude towards the transition, and the data for the evaluation of the attitude has been collected from an online survey using the concept of the technology adoption model (TAM). There are also several non-social interconnected variables in the FCM that decision-makers can change to see the decision outputs, and the data to value the interconnections have been collected from another online survey spread among energy experts and scholars. Five scenarios have been analyzed using this tool to validate the FCM’s outputs and demonstrate that it produces reasonable outputs. Based on the results of the scenarios, a few distinct recommendations have finally been made that are helpful when using this tool in decision-making processes. |
| Item Type: | Essay (Master) |
| Faculty: | BMS: Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences |
| Subject: | 70 social sciences in general |
| Programme: | Environmental and Energy Management MSc (69319) |
| Link to this item: | https://purl.utwente.nl/essays/92647 |
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