University of Twente Student Theses


Chimney fire prediction in IJsselland

Kasteren, L.N. van (2024) Chimney fire prediction in IJsselland.

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Abstract:In this paper, we develop a combined machine learning and statistical modelling process to predict chimney fire risk in IJsselland. We first use random forests and permutation importance techniques to find the explanatory variables. Secondly, we design a Poisson point process model and use logistic regression estimation to estimate the parameters. Afterwards, we verify the results using residuals. In all phases, we compare the results to the results from the Twente region, which is very similar to IJsselland. All the modelling is done on data collected by the Twente and IJsselland Fire Brigade.
Item Type:Essay (Bachelor)
Fire Department Twente, Enschede, Netherlands
Faculty:EEMCS: Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
Subject:31 mathematics, 54 computer science
Programme:Applied Mathematics BSc (56965)
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