A stochastic approach to allocation of capacity in a gas transmission network

A new model for the allocation of capacity in the gas transmission network of Gasunie Transport Services is proposed. The model includes a stochastic approach to predict the supply and demand on different network points more realistically. It also includes the effects of the balancing regime on the supply and demand and a simple way to determine the flows through the network. The current method of GTS mostly uses maximum or minimum contract utilization by the shippers. The model may be useful to determine oversell capacity based on predictions, which is a step forward because the oversell capacity of GTS is now mainly based on realizations.