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Support for the Party for Freedom in the Dutch elections in 2010

Wal, Martijn van de (2012) Support for the Party for Freedom in the Dutch elections in 2010.

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Abstract:In the last decade Dutch politics have been transformed by the shift from established parties to new upcoming parties which marked a shift from the center to the outskirts of the left right continuum. This research focused on the most recent founded party; the Party for Freedom which was established by Geert Wilders. The main research question is: Why did people vote for the PVV in the Dutch elections of 2010 while others did not? Data from the National voting survey has been used to analyze this question. It is hypothesized that the following eight independent factors influence voters whether or not to vote PVV: educational level, unemployment, party identification, anti-immigrant viewpoint, European policy viewpoint, protest voting, confidence in the PVV and charisma of the party leader. These eight hypotheses have been operationalized and 2400 people have been selected into the sample to test these hypotheses. With the use of these eight independent variables a logistic regression model is constructed to examine the influence of the independent variables on the dependent variable. Out of these analyses the conclusion is drawn that unemployment, European policy and confidence are insignificant. The remaining variables: educational level, party identification, anti-immigrant viewpoint, protest voting and charisma of the party leader are significant. With these significant independent variables it is possible to categorize 78,2% of the votes correctly into PVV vote or another vote.
Item Type:Essay (Bachelor)
Faculty:BMS: Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences
Subject:88 social and public administration
Programme:Public Administration BSc (56627)
Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/essays/61909
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