University of Twente Student Theses


A Spatio-Temporal Point Process Model for Firemen Demand in Twente

Wendels, Mike (2017) A Spatio-Temporal Point Process Model for Firemen Demand in Twente.

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Abstract:In this thesis a spatio-temporal point process will be proposed for modelling firemen demanding emergency calls in the region Twente in the Netherlands. The modelling technique will be described for the level 1a classifications of firemen demanding emergency calls "fire", "service", "accident", "alert" and "environmental". Making accurate expectations for these kinds of emergency calls in the future is very important for emergency services, since it can improve the prevention behaviour and the scheduling of the fire departments and therefore the quality of help. Improvement of the prevention behaviour is made possible because the model describes the influences of the involved covariates on each class of emergency calls. Scheduling could be improved since the number of emergency calls with the corresponding locations and classes can be predicted for future days. In this way it can be predicted for every fire department how many and which kinds of emergency calls they will have to treat the next days. The spatio-temporal point process proposed actually involves an ensemble of spatio-temporal point processes for the emergency calls of each level 1a class and each of these individual spatio-temporal point processes will be modelled as an inhomogeneous Poisson process in this thesis.
Item Type:Essay (Bachelor)
Brandweer Twente
Faculty:EEMCS: Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
Subject:31 mathematics
Programme:Applied Mathematics BSc (56965)
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