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The prediction of actual energy use during the use phase of Dutch dwellings using building specific parameters.

Eggens, Gijs Bart (2019) The prediction of actual energy use during the use phase of Dutch dwellings using building specific parameters.

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Abstract:The building sector contributes significantly to greenhouse gas emissions. To reduce the energy related CO2 emissions which occur during a building’s lifecycle, knowledge is needed on where the emissions occur. This study aims to tackle this knowledge gap by investigating if building specific parameters can be used to predict the actual energy use during the use phase of Dutch dwellings. In this explorative study to predict the actual energy use this study first assesses current methods used in literature and subsequently uses cross-validated stepwise multiple linear regression on the ‘Woon Onderzoek Nederland’ [1] dataset using only dwellings built after 2007 and using only building specific parameters. The building type, the theoretical total energy use (‘Energy Performance Certificate’ score combined with the gross floor area), and the number of rooms (in 5 classes) are identified in the multiple linear regression analysis as the key (building specific) parameters in predicting the actual energy use during the use phase of Dutch dwellings. The model created to predict the actual energy use during the use phase of Dutch dwellings shows that 35% of the variance in the data can be explained with these building specific parameters.
Item Type:Essay (Master)
Faculty:BMS: Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences
Subject:43 environmental science
Programme:Environmental and Energy Management MSc (69319)
Link to this item:http://purl.utwente.nl/essays/79563
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